SC Paderborn 07 vs VfL Wolfsburg
Bundesliga · 2026-05-25 18:30 UTC
🤖 AI Pick: OVER 9.5 corners
Confidence 6.3 / 10 Expected corners: 10.9 · Edge: +1.4
- H2H last 5 average: 10.0 corners, marginal premium vs 9.5 line
- Paderborn attacking-third entries: 0 per 90 severely restricts corner creation
- Sharp money neutral with zero 24h line movement indicates no institutional conviction
Model analysis
Model's 1.35-corner edge rests on expected_corners 10.85, but Paderborn's complete lack of attacking-third presence (0/90) undercuts corner generation mechanics. H2H baseline 10.0 and neutral market positioning offer minimal confirmation. No hidden signals fire. Modest confidence reduction warranted.
Model's 1.35-corner edge rests on expected_corners 10.85, but Paderborn's complete lack of attacking-third presence (0/90) undercuts corner generation mechanics. H2H baseline 10.0 and neutral market positioning offer minimal confirmation. No hidden signals fire. Modest confidence reduction warranted.
Market
| Bookmaker line | 9.5 |
| Over odds | 1.81 |
| Under odds | 1.91 |
Result
WIN Actual corners: 21 P/L: +0.8u
Strategy v1.2 · Prompt v1.0