Lech Poznan vs Aarhus
UEFA Champions League · 2026-07-29 17:00 UTC
🤖 AI Pick: OVER 9.5 corners
Confidence 6.8 / 10 Expected corners: 10.7 · Edge: +1.2
- H2H last 5 average 10.0 corners, supporting model's 10.7 projection
- Home attacking-third entries 48/90 vs away 12/90 shows pronounced asymmetry in pressure
- Referee baseline 10.0 corners aligns with line 9.5 and neutral market sentiment
Model analysis
Lech's balanced style and high attacking entries (48/90) drive corner volume despite Aarhus's weak recent form (1W-4N). Away team's short-distribution keeper presents marginal corner upside when Lech applies pressure. H2H and referee baseline validate 10.7 expectation. Neutral market and flat 24h line movement suggest consensus pricing; small edge holds.
Lech's balanced style and high attacking entries (48/90) drive corner volume despite Aarhus's weak recent form (1W-4N). Away team's short-distribution keeper presents marginal corner upside when Lech applies pressure. H2H and referee baseline validate 10.7 expectation. Neutral market and flat 24h line movement suggest consensus pricing; small edge holds.
Market
| Bookmaker line | 9.5 |
| Over odds | 1.87 |
| Under odds | 1.85 |
Hidden signals triggered
- 4. High-press team facing weak-distribution keeper
Result
WIN Actual corners: 17 P/L: +0.9u
Strategy v1.2 · Prompt v1.0