Bayern München vs 1. FC Köln
Bundesliga · 2026-05-16 13:30 UTC
🤖 AI Pick: OVER 10.3 corners
Confidence 6.5 / 10 Expected corners: 11.2 · Edge: +1.0
- Bayern attacking-third entries 42.5/90 vs Köln 17.5/90 — 25-point gap favors high-corner environment
- H2H last 5 averaged 10.0 corners, only 1.23 below model expected total
- No sharp money movement (neutral direction) and flat line in 24h — market efficiency neutral signal
Model analysis
Bayern's dominant attacking profile (42.5 entries/90) and home advantage trigger Signal 1, supporting the over. However, Köln's passive away tendencies (17.5 entries/90, WDLDL form) cap corner upside. Referee strictness standard, no market conviction detected. Small-edge thesis intact with modest confidence boost.
Bayern's dominant attacking profile (42.5 entries/90) and home advantage trigger Signal 1, supporting the over. However, Köln's passive away tendencies (17.5 entries/90, WDLDL form) cap corner upside. Referee strictness standard, no market conviction detected. Small-edge thesis intact with modest confidence boost.
Market
| Bookmaker line | 10.3 |
| Over odds | 1.82 |
| Under odds | 1.92 |
Hidden signals triggered
- 1. Top-4 home team hosting newly-promoted side
Result
LOSS Actual corners: 10 P/L: -1.0u
Strategy v1.2 · Prompt v1.0