Espanyol vs Athletic Club
La Liga · 2026-05-13 17:00 UTC
🤖 AI Pick: OVER 9.5 corners
Confidence 6.9 / 10 Expected corners: 11.3 · Edge: +1.8
- H2H last 5 matches averaged 10.0 corners, near model's 11.25 prediction
- Both teams balanced style with short-distribution keepers limit natural corner escalation
- Referee standard strictness (10.0 avg corners) provides no boost to 9.5 line
Model analysis
Neither team exhibits elite fullback quality or high-press profiles triggering corner multipliers. Espanyol's poor L5 form (1 win) and zero line movement despite neutral sharp money suggest 1.75-corner edge is thin. Standard referee and balanced tactical profiles anchor outcome near historical H2H baseline.
Neither team exhibits elite fullback quality or high-press profiles triggering corner multipliers. Espanyol's poor L5 form (1 win) and zero line movement despite neutral sharp money suggest 1.75-corner edge is thin. Standard referee and balanced tactical profiles anchor outcome near historical H2H baseline.
Market
| Bookmaker line | 9.5 |
| Over odds | 1.89 |
| Under odds | 1.85 |
Result
WIN Actual corners: 17 P/L: +0.9u
Strategy v1.2 · Prompt v1.0