Wolves vs Fulham
Premier League · 2026-05-17 14:00 UTC
🤖 AI Pick: OVER 9.5 corners
Confidence 6.3 / 10 Expected corners: 10.3 · Edge: +0.8
- Fulham attacking-third entries 14.67/90 (75% above Wolves 8.33/90)
- H2H last 5 averaged 10.0 corners, matching referee average under standard strictness
- Model edge 0.8 corners with zero market movement suggests stable pricing
Model analysis
Fulham's significantly higher attacking-third penetration (14.67 vs 8.33/90) combined with Wolves' short keeper distribution creates mild corner pressure. However, both teams' balanced styles and recent poor form (Wolves 1W in L5, Fulham 1W in L5) constrain expected totals. Referee and H2H baseline support 10-corner environment. Edge modest but stable.
Fulham's significantly higher attacking-third penetration (14.67 vs 8.33/90) combined with Wolves' short keeper distribution creates mild corner pressure. However, both teams' balanced styles and recent poor form (Wolves 1W in L5, Fulham 1W in L5) constrain expected totals. Referee and H2H baseline support 10-corner environment. Edge modest but stable.
Market
| Bookmaker line | 9.5 |
| Over odds | 1.85 |
| Under odds | 1.92 |
Hidden signals triggered
- 4. High-press team facing weak-distribution keeper
Result
LOSS Actual corners: 9 P/L: -1.0u
Strategy v1.2 · Prompt v1.0