Rayo Vallecano vs Girona
La Liga · 2026-05-11 19:00 UTC
🤖 AI Pick: UNDER 15.5 corners
Confidence 8.7 / 10 Expected corners: 9.6 · Edge: -5.9
- H2H last 5 averaged 10.0 corners vs model output 9.63
- Referee average corners: 10.0 (above expected_corners projection)
- Both teams balanced style with short-distribution keepers (standard corner environment)
Model analysis
No hidden signals activated. Both teams balanced, keepers use short distribution (neutral for corners), and referee shows standard strictness. Historical H2H and referee averages marginally exceed model forecast, but the gap is narrow and insufficient to override the substantive -5.87 edge against the 15.5 line.
No hidden signals activated. Both teams balanced, keepers use short distribution (neutral for corners), and referee shows standard strictness. Historical H2H and referee averages marginally exceed model forecast, but the gap is narrow and insufficient to override the substantive -5.87 edge against the 15.5 line.
Market
| Bookmaker line | 15.5 |
| Over odds | 9 |
| Under odds | 1.04 |
Result
WIN Actual corners: 14 P/L: +0.0u
Strategy v1.1 · Prompt v1.0