Espanyol vs Real Sociedad
La Liga · 2026-05-23 19:00 UTC
🤖 AI Pick: OVER 10 corners
Confidence 6.2 / 10 Expected corners: 11.2 · Edge: +1.2
- H2H average 10.0 corners matches current line exactly—no historical edge
- Away team averages 18.8 attacking-third entries per 90, yet recent form shows DLDDL (5 matches)
- Referee avg corners 10.0, line 10.0, zero 24h movement indicates market consensus
Model analysis
Model edges 1.2 corners on 11.2 expected vs 10.0 line. Both teams balanced, short-distribution keepers present, standard referee. H2H 10.0 average anchors line. Away team weak recent form contradicts high attacking frequency. Neutral sharp money and zero line movement confirm tight pricing.
Model edges 1.2 corners on 11.2 expected vs 10.0 line. Both teams balanced, short-distribution keepers present, standard referee. H2H 10.0 average anchors line. Away team weak recent form contradicts high attacking frequency. Neutral sharp money and zero line movement confirm tight pricing.
Market
| Bookmaker line | 10 |
| Over odds | 1.9 |
| Under odds | 1.91 |
Result
LOSS Actual corners: 7 P/L: -1.0u
Strategy v1.2 · Prompt v1.0