Napoli vs Bologna
Serie A · 2026-05-11 18:45 UTC
🤖 AI Pick: UNDER 13.5 corners
Confidence 8.7 / 10 Expected corners: 9.6 · Edge: -3.9
- H2H last 5 average: 10.0 corners vs model expected 9.63
- Referee average corners: 10.0, matching historical baseline
- Both teams balanced style with short-keeper distribution limiting corner opportunities
Model analysis
Model projects 9.63 corners against 13.5 line (−3.87 edge, UNDER bias). Neither team exhibits high-press tendencies; both use short distribution. H2H history averages 10.0, supporting model's sub-line view. No sharp money movement, standard referee strictness. Soft signals neutral across the board.
Model projects 9.63 corners against 13.5 line (−3.87 edge, UNDER bias). Neither team exhibits high-press tendencies; both use short distribution. H2H history averages 10.0, supporting model's sub-line view. No sharp money movement, standard referee strictness. Soft signals neutral across the board.
Market
| Bookmaker line | 13.5 |
| Over odds | 7.35 |
| Under odds | 1.05 |
Result
WIN Actual corners: 8 P/L: +0.1u
Strategy v1.1 · Prompt v1.0