Aarhus vs Sabah FA
UEFA Champions League · 2026-08-05 16:30 UTC
🤖 AI Pick: OVER 9 corners
Confidence 6.6 / 10 Expected corners: 10.0 · Edge: +1.0
- H2H average 10 corners vs. line 9 (+1.0 buffer)
- Referee averages 10 corners (aligns with model expectation)
- Away team only 21 attacking-third entries/90 vs. home 36 (limited pressure source)
Model analysis
Model's 9.98 expectation sits above 9.0 line with modest edge. Signal 4 (short-keeper distribution vs. balanced attack) provides minor structural support. Neutral sharp money and zero line movement suggest fair consensus pricing. H2H baseline and referee average validate 10-corner zone; away team's recent 4W form and low entry rate limit corner escalation risk.
Model's 9.98 expectation sits above 9.0 line with modest edge. Signal 4 (short-keeper distribution vs. balanced attack) provides minor structural support. Neutral sharp money and zero line movement suggest fair consensus pricing. H2H baseline and referee average validate 10-corner zone; away team's recent 4W form and low entry rate limit corner escalation risk.
Market
| Bookmaker line | 9 |
| Over odds | 1.87 |
| Under odds | 1.92 |
Hidden signals triggered
- 4. High-press team facing weak-distribution keeper
Result
WIN Actual corners: 11 P/L: +0.9u
Strategy v1.2 · Prompt v1.0