Everton vs Sunderland
Premier League · 2026-05-17 14:00 UTC
🤖 AI Pick: OVER 9.5 corners
Confidence 7.1 / 10 Expected corners: 10.9 · Edge: +1.4
- Everton home attacking-third entries 15.33/90 vs Sunderland away 12.33/90 suggests corner creation differential
- H2H last 5 average 10.0 corners aligns closely with model's 10.94 projection
- Referee avg corners 10.0 matches league standard strictness, no lenient signal detected
Model analysis
Signal 1 (top-4 home vs newly-promoted) activates modestly; both keepers employ short distribution and balanced styles, negating high-press advantage. Neutral market positioning and stable line hold conviction. H2H baseline supports 10.94 projection with minimal adjustment.
Signal 1 (top-4 home vs newly-promoted) activates modestly; both keepers employ short distribution and balanced styles, negating high-press advantage. Neutral market positioning and stable line hold conviction. H2H baseline supports 10.94 projection with minimal adjustment.
Market
| Bookmaker line | 9.5 |
| Over odds | 1.83 |
| Under odds | 1.9 |
Hidden signals triggered
- 1. Top-4 home team hosting newly-promoted side
Result
LOSS Actual corners: 5 P/L: -1.0u
Strategy v1.2 · Prompt v1.0