Tottenham vs Leeds
Premier League · 2026-05-11 19:00 UTC
🤖 AI Pick: UNDER 15.5 corners
Confidence 8.3 / 10 Expected corners: 11.3 · Edge: -4.3
- H2H last 5 matches averaged 10.0 corners vs model's 11.25 projection
- Both keepers employ short distribution, reducing set-piece forcing opportunities
- Referee averages 10 corners under standard strictness; neutral market sentiment (no line movement, sharp money neutral)
Model analysis
No hidden signals triggered. Model projects 11.25 corners with -4.25 edge on 15.5 line. Historical H2H data (10.0 avg) and both teams' balanced, possession-oriented styles with short-keeper distributions align with conservative corner output. Referee baseline at 10 corners reinforces sub-line expectation. Neutral market positioning offers no contradictory signal.
No hidden signals triggered. Model projects 11.25 corners with -4.25 edge on 15.5 line. Historical H2H data (10.0 avg) and both teams' balanced, possession-oriented styles with short-keeper distributions align with conservative corner output. Referee baseline at 10 corners reinforces sub-line expectation. Neutral market positioning offers no contradictory signal.
Market
| Bookmaker line | 15.5 |
| Over odds | 8.25 |
| Under odds | 1.05 |
Result
LOSS Actual corners: 16 P/L: -1.0u
Strategy v1.1 · Prompt v1.0