Gornik Zabrze vs Fenerbahçe
UEFA Champions League · 2026-07-29 18:00 UTC
🤖 AI Pick: OVER 9.8 corners
Confidence 7.0 / 10 Expected corners: 11.1 · Edge: +1.4
- H2H avg 10.0 corners vs model projection 11.1 (small +1.1 edge)
- Referee baseline 10.0 corners aligns with bookmaker line 9.75, suggesting fair market pricing
- Away team 12 attacking-third entries/90 contrasts sharp home limitation (0 entries/90)
Model analysis
Model projects 11.1 corners with 1.35-goal edge over 9.75 line. Signal 4 (short-distribution keeper vs press) shows minimal activation given Gornik's near-zero attacking third penetration, limiting corner generation variance. H2H and referee baselines support modest overvalue; neutral sharp money and stable line indicate consensus pricing. Confidence adjusted modestly upward.
Model projects 11.1 corners with 1.35-goal edge over 9.75 line. Signal 4 (short-distribution keeper vs press) shows minimal activation given Gornik's near-zero attacking third penetration, limiting corner generation variance. H2H and referee baselines support modest overvalue; neutral sharp money and stable line indicate consensus pricing. Confidence adjusted modestly upward.
Market
| Bookmaker line | 9.8 |
| Over odds | 1.89 |
| Under odds | 1.79 |
Hidden signals triggered
- 4. High-press team facing weak-distribution keeper
Result
WIN Actual corners: 16 P/L: +0.9u
Strategy v1.2 · Prompt v1.0